News reports remind us daily of incidents around the world where hundreds of innocent civilians are killed or suffer horrific injuries due to a Vehicle-Based Improvised Explosive Device (VBIED) or pedestrian homicide bomber. Contrary to the prioritized WMD fears of the government, the most effective terrorist attacks in modern history are not due to a weaponized toxin, but rather commonly used explosive materials delivered and detonated at a location where people congregate. This poses particular problems for highly developed countries like ours where thousands of spectators are drawn to huge sporting events every weekend.
While we enjoy sitting in the stands watching the sport of our choice, others watch us and invoke sinister plans to hit us when we are most vulnerable; being with our children and enjoying our time together. Whenever our threat awareness level has diminished is when the actual threat becomes more ominous. Terrorists are not dumb; they are very intelligent, patient, creative, well-financed and most importantly, evil. However, they are predictable in terms of their target selections and methodologies. Basically, they will continue to use what works.
Unfortunately, our collective recent memory can draw upon at least a quarter century of case studies to see how terrorists plan their operations, choose targets, select materials used and methods of employing hyper-violence for their number one mode of causing fear and casualties; explosives. If you review the most common types of terrorist attacks over the last 25 years, regardless of theater of operations, you will easy see that Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) are our #1 menace. From the terrorist perspective, IEDs are useful because they are:
Law Enforcement response to IEDs is a global problem, not uniquely ours. According to U.S Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff, the spectrum of use for IEDs has transcended from the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan through Western Europe and now North America (see below). Chertoff explained that the proper way of handling IED incidents is recognizing their "intervention points," consisting of terrorism funding, interception of explosive materials, and disrupting the planning of attacks. Conducting effective anti-IED operations requires that public safety professionals function inside of the terrorist decision making cycle. The more time a terrorist spends avoiding being caught, the less time they have to plan death and destruction. This proactive strategy requires that every law enforcement officer have the training necessary to engage in anti-terrorism efforts, namely through awareness and recognition. Failing to provide this basic training need exacerbates the risks.
Think about this for a moment: How could terrorists get 170,000 U.S. combat troops removed from Iraq and Afghanistan at lightning speed? What do you think would happen if 100 simultaneous car bombs went off at our Friday night high school football games across the country? Our local, state and federal homeland security agencies would be overwhelmed when tasked to protect our school systems the following Monday in response to an incident such as this. Federal troops would have to be sent to assist the National Guard Bureau, who is already stretched thin. Essentially, troops would have to come home for duty rather than being forward deployed. Seem farfetched? Intelligence suggests otherwise.
If your agency is like most, then officers working security at the local high school or college sporting event are treating this event just as another "moonlighting" job instead of the potential terrorist target that it is. Intelligence and the past practice of terrorist incidents themselves, tell us terrorists seek targets that are condensed with people, televised, limited egress routes, sparsely protected and an international attention getter should the attack be successful. Do large sporting events within your local jurisdiction fall within this category? I am not saying that "Little City USA Police Department" needs to invoke a national security plan with assistance from the U.S. Secret Service, but perhaps the following should be done as a minimum:
What is listed above is only a start. Can we stop a determined attacker each and every time? No. We can, however, make the deed more difficult for them. Hardening your target is a centuries old security tactic that works. It takes initiative though, starting with those who volunteer to do public safety duties recognizing that today, our world is not the way it used to be, and all indications are that it will never return to those days of yester-year either. We have entered a new era, where what used to be termed the "unthinkable" is now a reality.
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